Macaca
08-12 11:23 AM
Pending cases = EB + Family + Refugee + Asylum + ... = Backlogged cases + Unripe cases = 1,275,795 (page 11) + 1,316,740 (Figure 1, page 14) = 2,592,535 (as of March 2007)
What is an unripe case?
even if the application or petition were approved today, a benefit could not be conferred for months or years to come. (page 11)
cases that do not have an available visa or an FBI name check, and cases that are in suspense for other reasons deemed beyond USCIS’ control (page 12)
There will be severe consequences from rapid fluctuations in priority dates.
If the priority date became current today, due to delayed USCIS processing and thus underutilization of visa numbers, some have predicted that within a few months as many as 500,000 to 750,000 individuals now residing in the United States under a temporary worker visa could apply for a green card.
Additionally, DOL’s recent backlog elimination efforts, scheduled to be completed by September 30, 2007, are predicted to add 70,000 or more approved labor certifications yielding as many as 170,000 additional green card applications.
As USCIS begins to complete these applications and request visa numbers from DOS, the 140,000 statutorily authorized visa numbers will be used. DOS then will be required to retrogress priority dates.
Consequently, most applicants in this scenario will find themselves trapped whereas they anticipated timely receipt of a green card, their wait exceeds seven or more years.
In addition, all future employment-based green card applicants effectively would be barred from applying for many years.
(From page 35 of Ombudsman's Report (http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/CISOMB_Annual_Report_2007.pdf))
What is an unripe case?
even if the application or petition were approved today, a benefit could not be conferred for months or years to come. (page 11)
cases that do not have an available visa or an FBI name check, and cases that are in suspense for other reasons deemed beyond USCIS’ control (page 12)
There will be severe consequences from rapid fluctuations in priority dates.
If the priority date became current today, due to delayed USCIS processing and thus underutilization of visa numbers, some have predicted that within a few months as many as 500,000 to 750,000 individuals now residing in the United States under a temporary worker visa could apply for a green card.
Additionally, DOL’s recent backlog elimination efforts, scheduled to be completed by September 30, 2007, are predicted to add 70,000 or more approved labor certifications yielding as many as 170,000 additional green card applications.
As USCIS begins to complete these applications and request visa numbers from DOS, the 140,000 statutorily authorized visa numbers will be used. DOS then will be required to retrogress priority dates.
Consequently, most applicants in this scenario will find themselves trapped whereas they anticipated timely receipt of a green card, their wait exceeds seven or more years.
In addition, all future employment-based green card applicants effectively would be barred from applying for many years.
(From page 35 of Ombudsman's Report (http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/CISOMB_Annual_Report_2007.pdf))
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malibuguy007
04-01 01:58 PM
I agree we should keep the momentum going and achieve 10K this month as well.
My contribution of $25 Using the Donate Now button.
My contribution of $25 Using the Donate Now button.
vishwak
08-11 08:35 AM
Very Disappointment for me.....as i missed it with couple of days.
Visa Bulletin for September 2010 (http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5113.html)
I'm not sure if they are going to move dates in Oct or not...
Visa Bulletin for September 2010 (http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5113.html)
I'm not sure if they are going to move dates in Oct or not...
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Jerrome
03-19 09:55 AM
I fully agree to this post. If someone is coming here to asking for help, give it if you want. Don't throw shit or try to judge the person. I think these guys are waiting for chance to throw shit at someone, since they have handful
Did my post suggest in any way that I was defending the guy? I was only ridiculing those who were bad mouthing him.
Are you suggesting that my post would have scored more points if I came out with more ammunition? I did not post in order to win your accolades. The fact that you felt there is not enough ammunition, suggests to me that you think it is perfectly fine to do all those filthy things I was referring to. This tells me about your moral standard.
You had to assume that I probably have a criminal issue too, and thats why I was defending the original poster? Is that the best your mind can think of?
You are sick and tired of defending our community? Do you imply that most people from our community have turned to criminal acts these days, and so you are tired? Because, I have not seen that around the people that I move around with. Is it all too common in your circles and the people you associate with?
You most probably have half the education that I have, your salary is most likely half that of mine, and your moral standard is probably half that of mine. If I start ridiculing you more, you will suffer sleepless nights. So I won't do it (after this post, I mean).
You don't post bullshit in a public forum, just because you can't see the people you are talking to, infront of you. Would you dare call the original poster 'thief' if he is standing infront of you? Would you call him that, if he is a friend of your roommate and your roommate brings him over to your house? The internet must be a new technology for you. Please learn how to use it to spread some love.
To the poster above you:
It is true that the law does not impose punishments on backstabbers, womanizers, sexual perverts, etc. Prostitution is legal in a lot of countries. The fact that the law permits some things, does not have any bearing on the moral severity or the lack thereof, of those things. Would you choose a 'prostitute' over a 'shop lifter' for a wife? If these are the only 2 options, I would be content with a shop lifter. Would you choose a 'prostitute' because there are no criminal issues involved and you will get your greencard faster?
Even though not many people have posted in support of my post, my reputation has gone up, and yours probably went down. Please don't respond just because you want a revenge.
I will always stand up for the one weak guy who is bullied by a 100 really nice & powerful ones. This can't be called defending the act of 'shop lifting' !!!
Did my post suggest in any way that I was defending the guy? I was only ridiculing those who were bad mouthing him.
Are you suggesting that my post would have scored more points if I came out with more ammunition? I did not post in order to win your accolades. The fact that you felt there is not enough ammunition, suggests to me that you think it is perfectly fine to do all those filthy things I was referring to. This tells me about your moral standard.
You had to assume that I probably have a criminal issue too, and thats why I was defending the original poster? Is that the best your mind can think of?
You are sick and tired of defending our community? Do you imply that most people from our community have turned to criminal acts these days, and so you are tired? Because, I have not seen that around the people that I move around with. Is it all too common in your circles and the people you associate with?
You most probably have half the education that I have, your salary is most likely half that of mine, and your moral standard is probably half that of mine. If I start ridiculing you more, you will suffer sleepless nights. So I won't do it (after this post, I mean).
You don't post bullshit in a public forum, just because you can't see the people you are talking to, infront of you. Would you dare call the original poster 'thief' if he is standing infront of you? Would you call him that, if he is a friend of your roommate and your roommate brings him over to your house? The internet must be a new technology for you. Please learn how to use it to spread some love.
To the poster above you:
It is true that the law does not impose punishments on backstabbers, womanizers, sexual perverts, etc. Prostitution is legal in a lot of countries. The fact that the law permits some things, does not have any bearing on the moral severity or the lack thereof, of those things. Would you choose a 'prostitute' over a 'shop lifter' for a wife? If these are the only 2 options, I would be content with a shop lifter. Would you choose a 'prostitute' because there are no criminal issues involved and you will get your greencard faster?
Even though not many people have posted in support of my post, my reputation has gone up, and yours probably went down. Please don't respond just because you want a revenge.
I will always stand up for the one weak guy who is bullied by a 100 really nice & powerful ones. This can't be called defending the act of 'shop lifting' !!!
more...
GoGreen
12-17 11:45 AM
I have sold some items in eBay in the past, If I rememver correctly, when I sold something for $10 and the buyer made a paypal payment, paypal took $1.5 as fees.
So if you are making $20, only $17 goes to IV, IF the amount is >=50 I believe the fees is much lesser (like 5%) so more money goes to IV instead of making paypal rich.
So if you are making $20, only $17 goes to IV, IF the amount is >=50 I believe the fees is much lesser (like 5%) so more money goes to IV instead of making paypal rich.
brb2
10-10 07:01 PM
Well, DOS is alerting that don't expect additional rapid movement any time soon. Here is the relevant part of their warning:
E. EMPLOYMENT-BASED VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS
Cut-off date movements in recent months have been greater than might ordinarily be expected, in an effort to maximize number use within the annual numerical limits. This has been necessary because demand being received from Citizenship and Immigration Services (CIS) Offices for adjustment of status cases has been relatively light. As these dates have advanced, however, many thousands of applicants have become eligible for processing at CIS Offices. Once number use increases significantly as CIS addresses its backlog, cut-off date movement will necessarily slow or stop. Moreover, in some categories cut-off date retrogression is a particular possibility.
The only positive thing I can take from this visa bulletin (assuming there is even a modicum of linear thought possible on the movement of dates) is that the 485 traffic for PDs between 2002 July and Jan 2003 is fairly light for EB2 India. After all they stated as much in their footnotes about anticipated movement of PDs. This can be construed as offering some hope for those from EB2 India with priority dates in early 2003 (say up to march). After all anyone in their right mind would not chance CP now with the fluidity of priority dates and the pending BEC deluge of cases, and the hordes of people hunting labour subs. etc. Basically if anyone gets the chance to file 485 they will do it lest the dates retrogress again while they are waiting for the consular interview.
So those with early 2003 dates can be hopeful now, later than march and I doubt you will be in this fiscal years quota.
Very true about the nurses and PTs. This will definitely lead to a lot of noise and I am quite sure the remaining 50K visas left for recapture for yrs 2002-2004 will also be recaptured soon after the elections. I hope for the SKIL provisions but am less confident about them than I am about the Schedule A workers.
E. EMPLOYMENT-BASED VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS
Cut-off date movements in recent months have been greater than might ordinarily be expected, in an effort to maximize number use within the annual numerical limits. This has been necessary because demand being received from Citizenship and Immigration Services (CIS) Offices for adjustment of status cases has been relatively light. As these dates have advanced, however, many thousands of applicants have become eligible for processing at CIS Offices. Once number use increases significantly as CIS addresses its backlog, cut-off date movement will necessarily slow or stop. Moreover, in some categories cut-off date retrogression is a particular possibility.
The only positive thing I can take from this visa bulletin (assuming there is even a modicum of linear thought possible on the movement of dates) is that the 485 traffic for PDs between 2002 July and Jan 2003 is fairly light for EB2 India. After all they stated as much in their footnotes about anticipated movement of PDs. This can be construed as offering some hope for those from EB2 India with priority dates in early 2003 (say up to march). After all anyone in their right mind would not chance CP now with the fluidity of priority dates and the pending BEC deluge of cases, and the hordes of people hunting labour subs. etc. Basically if anyone gets the chance to file 485 they will do it lest the dates retrogress again while they are waiting for the consular interview.
So those with early 2003 dates can be hopeful now, later than march and I doubt you will be in this fiscal years quota.
Very true about the nurses and PTs. This will definitely lead to a lot of noise and I am quite sure the remaining 50K visas left for recapture for yrs 2002-2004 will also be recaptured soon after the elections. I hope for the SKIL provisions but am less confident about them than I am about the Schedule A workers.
more...
belmontboy
06-12 11:54 AM
I was charged Class 1 misdemeanor with battery at California. If I finally reject DA offer (only waive Jail time, but keep the same charge and 52 weeks anger control classes plus 3 yr probation), I have to go jury trial middle of July.
My wife and I just kid around at our apartment, she suddenly scream as pee on pants. (probably from my holding, but at least it is un-intent accident) but she did not tell me the reason that time. As she scream very loudly like be out of control. I try to comfort her but no result :(. Then 2 neighbors call 911. Cop comes, my wife said we kidding around, but not say the real reason for embarassment, sure there is no injury, no mark. But I am so stupid to describe the detail and said word "drag", In my poor English, drag is not that serious. Actually I just lift and hold my wife and try to move her to study room as she want to go there. That's all. But that time, I did not realize that serious. That cop record I am irritated and drag my wife's hand and push her to computer chair ( I really not said that push to chair thing), then she screaming! I was immediatedly arrested that time and leave the fingerprint at police office.
Then I hired a criminal attorney, but DA refuse to dismiss or reduce my class 1 level charge. Only waive the jail time. My attorney said my own statement is not good for me and easy to be attacked.... he tried to persuade me accept offer... :(
I feel really upset but hardly to accept DA's plead to guilty offer. Both my wife and I think I did nothing wrong. Now my wife try to contact DA through email.
I prepare the worst thing, if lose the case in jury, will my GC gone? I filed 485 last June and fingerprint August/2007. The arrest happen at earlier March. And worst case, will I be deported immediately? Now I still in H1, expired at 2011.
Really appreciated if you can give me any advice.:(
Dude r u kidding? :eek:
If your wife say's it was a bad joke, then the whole case is over?
My wife and I just kid around at our apartment, she suddenly scream as pee on pants. (probably from my holding, but at least it is un-intent accident) but she did not tell me the reason that time. As she scream very loudly like be out of control. I try to comfort her but no result :(. Then 2 neighbors call 911. Cop comes, my wife said we kidding around, but not say the real reason for embarassment, sure there is no injury, no mark. But I am so stupid to describe the detail and said word "drag", In my poor English, drag is not that serious. Actually I just lift and hold my wife and try to move her to study room as she want to go there. That's all. But that time, I did not realize that serious. That cop record I am irritated and drag my wife's hand and push her to computer chair ( I really not said that push to chair thing), then she screaming! I was immediatedly arrested that time and leave the fingerprint at police office.
Then I hired a criminal attorney, but DA refuse to dismiss or reduce my class 1 level charge. Only waive the jail time. My attorney said my own statement is not good for me and easy to be attacked.... he tried to persuade me accept offer... :(
I feel really upset but hardly to accept DA's plead to guilty offer. Both my wife and I think I did nothing wrong. Now my wife try to contact DA through email.
I prepare the worst thing, if lose the case in jury, will my GC gone? I filed 485 last June and fingerprint August/2007. The arrest happen at earlier March. And worst case, will I be deported immediately? Now I still in H1, expired at 2011.
Really appreciated if you can give me any advice.:(
Dude r u kidding? :eek:
If your wife say's it was a bad joke, then the whole case is over?
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Goodintentions
04-20 10:59 AM
Another key Republican calls for H-1B cap hike - Computerworld (http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9215970/Another_key_Republican_calls_for_H_1B_cap_hike)
I think there is a need to educate politicians that the problem is not H1B but GC backlogs. As per USCIS only 7100 H1B's have been utilized so far for FY 2012. Unless they provide clear and time bound path to Permanent Residence, positive economic contributions from high skilled immigrants would be minimal.
======================
I agree that we MUST educate them.
Most of them do not know anything about L1. They think only about H1. I have been to my Congressman's office several times and have written numerous letters (not emails but printed and signed letters, as they have a better impact).
Requst one and all to do that. CIR is dead now. What next? can we debate?
Cheers!
I think there is a need to educate politicians that the problem is not H1B but GC backlogs. As per USCIS only 7100 H1B's have been utilized so far for FY 2012. Unless they provide clear and time bound path to Permanent Residence, positive economic contributions from high skilled immigrants would be minimal.
======================
I agree that we MUST educate them.
Most of them do not know anything about L1. They think only about H1. I have been to my Congressman's office several times and have written numerous letters (not emails but printed and signed letters, as they have a better impact).
Requst one and all to do that. CIR is dead now. What next? can we debate?
Cheers!
more...
suriajay12
01-14 11:40 AM
I just filed, but I do not have patience to wait and watch every bulletin.. we have to do bring more attention to problem.
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go_guy123
07-02 10:40 AM
I guess country quota is root of all our green card related griefs. everybody else can dream of getting a green card someday, but EB-3/EB-2 India & China should stop dreaming about Green cards...I am sure this can be prooved illegal.
We cant say. Even Supreme Court works by voting where judges vote and majority wins.
In the past courts has said yes to "Affirmative action" and that it doesn't violate the
equality given by constitution.
Another option would be to challenge the interpretation of the law. Like unused visa capture whether wasted visa
should be counted.
Long back time spent outside US and on H4 visa used to we wasted. Not anymore. This has come about by challenging
the interpretation of the law.
Similar challenges are going on interpretation of the Child status protection act that was passed in 2002
We cant say. Even Supreme Court works by voting where judges vote and majority wins.
In the past courts has said yes to "Affirmative action" and that it doesn't violate the
equality given by constitution.
Another option would be to challenge the interpretation of the law. Like unused visa capture whether wasted visa
should be counted.
Long back time spent outside US and on H4 visa used to we wasted. Not anymore. This has come about by challenging
the interpretation of the law.
Similar challenges are going on interpretation of the Child status protection act that was passed in 2002
more...
sanjeev_2004
08-22 11:14 PM
Just Thought
There is 200k application without 140 approval, this is including july filers.
there is lot of chnace for those who got their I-140 approved, even their PD '2006.
you can see people getting approved PD'2005 EB2 cases, even then VB says now 2004'apr for EB2.They are not processing based on PD now and in future also i gues.Since we have already filed.PD will restrict only to File I-485 in future.
- satish
TSC approving old PD I140 first and that is suffient for demand supply ratio. no approval possible with PD'2005 EB2 cases for contries like India.
There is 200k application without 140 approval, this is including july filers.
there is lot of chnace for those who got their I-140 approved, even their PD '2006.
you can see people getting approved PD'2005 EB2 cases, even then VB says now 2004'apr for EB2.They are not processing based on PD now and in future also i gues.Since we have already filed.PD will restrict only to File I-485 in future.
- satish
TSC approving old PD I140 first and that is suffient for demand supply ratio. no approval possible with PD'2005 EB2 cases for contries like India.
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pappu
11-08 12:39 PM
Its good that we have a democratic majority in congress. we also now have work cutout for us to contact new lawmakers. getting more members and members willing to work for local chapters is important at this time. we need to work with renewed vigour now and finish our task. pls help with increasing membership and join your state level chapter threads. I see only very few members have posted their interest. we need interest from each member in order to succeed. I am sure we will succeed. The good times are ahead of us but we need to take advantage of it.
more...
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sam_hoosier
04-09 04:29 PM
Here is the "India Thing" again.
Please, if you really love your country go back home. I don't think America really cares if you leave.
There will always H1-B application every year.
I'm not from India.
The question is not whether America cares or not, its just about people (Indians) venting their frustration with the whole GC/retrogression issue.
I am surprised that you care enough to post in this thread, when you are not from India ;)
Please, if you really love your country go back home. I don't think America really cares if you leave.
There will always H1-B application every year.
I'm not from India.
The question is not whether America cares or not, its just about people (Indians) venting their frustration with the whole GC/retrogression issue.
I am surprised that you care enough to post in this thread, when you are not from India ;)
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Marphad
03-17 04:15 PM
I think is IP banned and he no longer able to access the IV.
Thats I read in his forum...
Banning IP is not a good idea. If you are sitting in a company, for all people, outside world will get the same IP.
Thats I read in his forum...
Banning IP is not a good idea. If you are sitting in a company, for all people, outside world will get the same IP.
more...
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lost_in_migration
09-20 09:40 AM
GooblyWoobly seems to have 'disapproved' gc_chahiye and my post. We both have lost One GREEN each from our reputation :)
singhsa3 I absolutely agree with you. Undeserving people like GooblyWoobly will be benefited by active members hard work. And the disheartening part is these people will take the benefit and on top of that shamelessly show their ungratefulness on this forum :mad:
I fully resonate with gc_chahiye;169769 . People like GooblyWoobly are good for nothing. They have no right to pick on one of our distinguish ,well respected and an active member. The Rally have been quite successful and have made people think about our issue.
Unfortunately, people like GooblyWoobly will also be benefited by the hard work of people like Franklin.
singhsa3 I absolutely agree with you. Undeserving people like GooblyWoobly will be benefited by active members hard work. And the disheartening part is these people will take the benefit and on top of that shamelessly show their ungratefulness on this forum :mad:
I fully resonate with gc_chahiye;169769 . People like GooblyWoobly are good for nothing. They have no right to pick on one of our distinguish ,well respected and an active member. The Rally have been quite successful and have made people think about our issue.
Unfortunately, people like GooblyWoobly will also be benefited by the hard work of people like Franklin.
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webm
05-21 04:13 PM
Its working for me. I noticed that when I clicked on your link it did not work, your link has "..." embdded in the url.
Try this.
https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtimes.jsp?SeviceCenter=TSC
Still not working dude..The page cannot be displayed..
I tried refreshing it though..
Try this.
https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtimes.jsp?SeviceCenter=TSC
Still not working dude..The page cannot be displayed..
I tried refreshing it though..
more...
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chanduv23
10-03 06:06 AM
Folks ,
I will try my best, I work in North Jersey , Usually I leave from my office around 7 PM, I will let you know
Same here, I work in Fort Lee - I plan to start early on that day.
I will try my best, I work in North Jersey , Usually I leave from my office around 7 PM, I will let you know
Same here, I work in Fort Lee - I plan to start early on that day.
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maverick_s39
01-26 04:36 PM
I was not optimistic about EB3 situation a while ago but the situation has changed, i think we are fast approaching the end of this dark tunnel and we will soon see light :)
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vinodmp
02-10 11:04 AM
Any Ball park amount I should expect as attorney fee for the MTR ? I know some one mentioned about a CA attorney who does it for $500 but since I don't have H1 as backup , incase if I need switch back to the 2nd employer it is better to keep the current attorney ( 2nd employer ) . looks like he may not come cheap . they asked whether I want to file for Adv parol and it will cost attorney fee $800 . ( I don't have a clue why asked when my I485 is in denial stage) .
I looked at the I290B form and looks not so complicated.
But in this situation I do not want to take the risk of filing myself .
Thanks
-vinod
I looked at the I290B form and looks not so complicated.
But in this situation I do not want to take the risk of filing myself .
Thanks
-vinod
zen
04-06 04:37 PM
what you say above is true. but the fact is that we are what we are ..and we are at cross roads ..and that is where we are.
the main question is how do we increase membership .. the answer to that has to be in meaningful and visible campaigns.
forcing people to pay money when their jobs are at risk will not increase membership.
the main question is how do we increase membership .. the answer to that has to be in meaningful and visible campaigns.
forcing people to pay money when their jobs are at risk will not increase membership.
GCplease
01-22 10:30 AM
This Tracker facility we have in IV is good. Kudos to the Admin team who implemented this thing.
These are my observations. I could be grossly mistaken. Pardon me if I am wrong.
There are approximately 26,000 people who have put in their priority dates and other such data in the tracker. When I compared similar cases, I got some 265 who were EB3 India with a priority date in 2002. That is approximately 1 %, give or take.
Here I have ignored EB3 India 2001 guys. But that number would be very less I believe.
1% of 400k is 4000 which is what USCIS issues GC for EB3 India in a year.
Does that mean I could get my GC this year.
Hope these numbers are right.
These are my observations. I could be grossly mistaken. Pardon me if I am wrong.
There are approximately 26,000 people who have put in their priority dates and other such data in the tracker. When I compared similar cases, I got some 265 who were EB3 India with a priority date in 2002. That is approximately 1 %, give or take.
Here I have ignored EB3 India 2001 guys. But that number would be very less I believe.
1% of 400k is 4000 which is what USCIS issues GC for EB3 India in a year.
Does that mean I could get my GC this year.
Hope these numbers are right.